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MONDAY SEPTEMBER 24 - HUNTING PREHISTORIC HURRICANES
Reliable data on hurricane landfalls in the United States goes back about
150 years. In that time, few catastrophic hurricanes have come ashore, so
meteorologists don't have enough statistical data to confidently estimate how
frequently such powerful hurricanes strike.
That's why some hurricane researchers have
become paleontologists, digging for signs of prehistoric storms. The clues come
in the form of sand from the ocean floor or beach that was carried inland by the
storm surges of past massive hurricanes. The displaced sand eventually settled to
the bottom of coastal lakes and marshes, forming layers of sediment. Researchers
have extracted cores from more than a dozen lakes and marshes along the Gulf Coast,
and by dating sand layers in the cores,
unlocked some secrets of hurricane history back about 4000 years.
Their data indicates that over time scales of centuries, we're presently in a
relatively quiet period for catastrophic hurricanes along the Gulf Coast.
Such storms struck four to five times more often 1000 to 3000 years ago than
they do now. Their research suggests that a catastrophic hurricane strikes the
Gulf Coast, on average, about once every 300 years. A similar study is also
being conducted in New England with cores drawn from salt marshes in Rhode
Island, Connecticut, and Massachusetts. This popular new branch of hurricane
research has been dubbed "Paleotempestology."
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