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MONDAY MARCH 25 - TORNADO FORECAST ANNIVERSARY
Today is a
significant anniversary
in the history of severe weather forecasting:
on this date in 1948, the first successful tornado forecast was made.
Until the late 1930s, the U.S. Weather Bureau's official policy prohibited the use
of the word "tornado" in a forecast, fearing that it would cause panic. Even in
the 1940s, few forecasts mentioned tornadoes. On March 25, 1948,
Captain Robert
Miller and Major Ernest Fawbush were forecasting at Tinker Air Force Base in
Oklahoma. The weather maps that day looked very similar to those just five days
before, when a
tornado had struck
the base. Despite the near-zero chance that a
second tornado would hit the same place in the same week, the two officers
mentioned the possibility in their forecast for that day. And a little after
six o'clock, the unthinkable happened: another tornado struck the base, securing
Miller and Fawbush's place in weather history.
In an interesting sidelight, fifteen years later, in 1963, Miller - by then a
Colonel - came to Philadelphia to help set up the weather center at The Franklin
Institute.
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