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WEDNESDAY MARCH 6 - ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE PAST
When we talk about climate change, as might occur, for example, from global
warming, we generally mean smooth and relatively slow changes over periods of
many decades, or even centuries. But researchers studying ice cores have found
evidence in the past of abrupt temperature swings that occurred over periods as
short as ten years, suggesting that such relatively quick changes might also
occur in the future.
Dr.
Richard Alley from Penn State University is one of the researchers. He
likens abrupt climate changes to building a tower of blocks. At first, blocks
can be added on top and the tower remains stable, but once a certain threshold
is crossed, the tower becomes too tall and abruptly topples.
It's good to know this kind of abrupt "toppling" of the climate has happened
in the past because the computer models that we're currently using to simulate
future climates all tend to change smoothly. Thus, they do a poor job of
capturing abrupt changes like the ones Alley has discovered.
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