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THURSDAY JANUARY 4 - LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING CONTEST
There are several organizations out there claiming pretty impressive accuracy for
long-term forecasting, even months and seasons in advance. As I've said a few times
before, you really need to be cautious in accepting any of these claims.
But now there's a chance for these forecasters and others to compete in a nationwide
contest to see who really is the best at long-range forecasting. For the first time
in history, a private company, Aquila Energy, is sponsoring a long-range weather
forecasting contest. This contest will run over the next three years, with a cash
prize of $100,000 per year to the forecasting firm or forecaster who most accurately
predicts temperatures during the summer and winter.
Seventy-nine forecasters have
entered the contest, which will focus on 13 cities, one of them Philadelphia. And
the forecasts will be monitored by the American Meteorological Society, the national
professional organization for atmospheric scientists in this country.
I'll keep you updated on the contest and its results.